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Poster

An Empirical Examination of Balancing Strategy for Counterfactual Estimation on Time Series

Qiang Huang · Chuizheng Meng · Defu Cao · Biwei Huang · Yi Chang · Yan Liu


Abstract:

Counterfactual estimation from observations represents a critical endeavor in numerous application fields, such as healthcare and finance, with the primary challenge being the mitigation of treatment bias. The balancing strategy aimed at reducing covariate disparities between different treatment groups serves as a universal solution. However, when it comes to the time series data, the effectiveness of balancing strategies remains an open question, with a thorough analysis of the robustness and applicability of balancing strategies still lacking. This paper revisits counterfactual estimation in the temporal setting and provides a brief overview of recent advancements in balancing strategies. More importantly, we conduct a critical empirical examination for the effectiveness of the balancing strategies within the realm of temporal counterfactual estimation. Our findings are of significant consequence for researchers and practitioners to urge a reevaluation of the balancing strategy.

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